Nifty 50 Trade Setup for September 29, 2025 & Next Week – Key Things to Know Before Market Opens

September 28, 2025

by ROHIT YADAV with No Comment Nifty 50 Weakly Trade Setup Uncategorized

Nifty 50 Market Outlook for September 29, 2025

The Nifty 50 ended last week under continued selling pressure, with the index slipping nearly 1 percent on September 26 and losing 2.65 percent for the week. This marked the sixth straight session of weakness, highlighting strong bearish sentiment across both technical and momentum indicators.

The index touched the 24,600 mark, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement level of the recent rally. This area now serves as a crucial support zone that could decide the near-term direction of the market.

Key Levels to Watch

Support Zones:
Immediate support is seen at 24,600, followed by 24,400–24,300 if the decline extends. The 24,500 zone also remains important, as a successful retest and reversal from this level could help the index resume its broader bullish structure. On the daily chart, the pattern continues to show Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), and the market is currently awaiting the formation of the next Higher High to confirm the continuation of the trend.
Resistance Zones:
On the upside, resistance is expected in the 24,800–24,900 zone. A decisive close above these levels will be required for bullish momentum to return with strength.

Market Sentiment

While the trend remains under pressure in the short term, the recent steep fall increases the possibility of a bounce-back. However, the sustainability of any recovery will be crucial—if buyers fail to defend the 24,600–24,500 support region, the market could shift toward a deeper corrective phase.

In summary, the market’s next move hinges on how Nifty behaves around the 24,600–24,500 support cluster. Holding above this range could revive bullish momentum, but a breakdown may open the door for further downside toward 24,300.

Nifty Open Interest Analysis – September 29, 2025

Call Options Data

The maximum Call OI is concentrated at the 25,000 strike (1.8 crore contracts), making it the most significant resistance level in the near term.
This is followed by the 25,500 strike (1.59 crore contracts) and the 25,100 strike (1.48 crore contracts), indicating additional supply zones where sellers are active.
Fresh Call writing was most notable at the 24,800 strike (1.07 crore contracts added), suggesting traders are building positions expecting Nifty to face resistance near this zone.
Additional writing was seen at 24,900 (75.83 lakh contracts) and 24,700 (62.41 lakh contracts).
On the other hand, Call unwinding was observed at the 25,400 strike (-21.24 lakh contracts), followed by 25,450 (-14.63 lakh) and 25,350 (-11.03 lakh), showing that traders are reducing positions at higher levels, hinting at a lack of confidence in a sharp breakout.

Put Options Data

On the downside, the 24,500 strike holds the highest Put OI (1.23 crore contracts), acting as a key support level for the index.
This is followed by the 24,600 strike (92.21 lakh contracts) and the 24,000 strike (89.99 lakh contracts), which further strengthen the support base.
Put writing was strongest at 24,500 (+41.98 lakh contracts), showing traders’ confidence in defending this level.
Additional writing was recorded at 24,600 (+38.91 lakh contracts) and 24,650 (+29.38 lakh contracts), reinforcing the support zone.
Put unwinding was highest at 24,900 (-45.61 lakh contracts), followed by 25,000 (-43.26 lakh contracts) and 24,800 (-25.68 lakh contracts), reflecting weakening bullish bets at higher strikes.

Market View Based on OI Analysis

Support Zone: The 24,500–24,600 range is emerging as the strongest support, with heavy Put OI and fresh writing. Unless this zone is broken, downside risks remain limited in the short term.
Resistance Zone: On the upside, resistance is firm around 24,800–25,000, where significant Call OI and fresh writing are concentrated.
Trading Implication:

If Nifty sustains above 24,600, it may consolidate and attempt a move toward 24,800–25,000.
A breakout above 25,000 could open the way toward 25,100–25,500, but the heavy Call OI here suggests it won’t be an easy move.
On the downside, if Nifty slips below 24,500, the next support lies near 24,300–24,000, which could invite stronger selling pressure.

Put-Call Ratio (PCR) Update

The Nifty Put-Call Ratio (PCR) slipped to 0.63 on September 26, the lowest since July 28, down from 0.68 in the previous session.

The PCR is an important sentiment indicator:

A high PCR (above 0.7 or near 1.0) means traders are adding more Puts than Calls, which usually signals bullish sentiment as participants expect the market to stay supported.
A low PCR (below 0.7 or closer to 0.5) shows more Call positions being built compared to Puts, reflecting bearish sentiment as traders anticipate resistance or downside pressure.

With PCR now at 0.63, the data suggests that the market mood is leaning bearish in the short term.

India VIX Update

The India VIX, which reflects expected market volatility, rose by 5.96% to 11.43. It has now moved back above its short- and medium-term moving averages.

This rise in VIX signals increasing caution in the market, showing that traders and investors expect more volatility ahead. For bulls, it suggests being careful as the risk levels are starting to rise.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Options trading carries risk. Consult a registered advisor before making any trades. We are not liable for any losses.

Nifty 50 Trade Setup for September 22, 2025 & Next Week – Key Things to Know Before Market Opens

September 21, 2025

by ROHIT YADAV with No Comment Nifty 50 Weakly Trade Setup Uncategorized

Nifty 50 Market Outlook – 22nd September 2025

Market View

Overall Trend – Nifty continues to trade within a bullish channel, maintaining its broader upward momentum. Despite short-term volatility, the underlying trend remains positive.
Key Resistance – The index is likely to challenge the 25,680 level, which is emerging as the next major hurdle on the upside. A breakout above this level could accelerate bullish momentum further.
Crucial Support Zone – The 25,000 level is acting as a strong support. While the market may retest this level, it is unlikely to be broken easily unless there is a major negative trigger.
Significance of 25,000 Breakout – The recent breakout above 25,000 came after 64 trading sessions, reinforcing the strength of this move. This suggests that Nifty is likely to sustain above 25,000 in the near term.
Candle Pattern & Near-Term View – The last two daily candles were bearish, with the most recent bar closing near its low—indicating some profit booking. However, the next candle will be crucial:

If Nifty closes around 25,300 with a bullish bar, the index may resume its upward journey and attempt to break 25,676–25,680.
If selling pressure continues, the market could revisit the 25,000 support zone before attempting a fresh rebound.

Trading Strategy for the Coming Weeks

Long Setup – If the next trading session forms a bullish candle, traders can look to go long. The upside target for the coming weeks is 25,800.
Short Setup – If the market breaks below 25,300 or sustains under this level, short positions can be considered. The first downside target would be 25,000.

If 25,000 is broken decisively, the sentiment will likely shift to bearish, and the index may extend the fall towards 24,500.

Open Interest Analysis – Nifty 50 (Weekly & Monthly Expiry)

For 23rd September 2025 Expiry (Weekly Setup)

Support at 25,300: Around 0.27 Cr puts vs. 0.63 Cr calls. This level won’t break easily on Monday, but if it does, the market may slide towards 25,200.
Strong support at 25,000: With 87L puts vs. 25L calls, traders believe the market will hold this level in the short term.
No major call buildup between 24,500 – 25,300: This suggests FIIs & DIIs are not expecting a strong bearish move.
Resistance at 25,400: With 1.54 Cr calls vs. 54L puts, this is the first hurdle for the bulls.
Resistance at 25,500: With 1.45 Cr calls vs. 23L puts, a key barrier.
Major resistance at 26,000: With 1.58 Cr calls vs. only 1.89L puts, this is where bears have built heavy positions, expecting the market not to cross this level easily.

For 30th September 2025 Expiry (Monthly Setup)

Support at 25,000: With 57L puts vs. 33L calls, this level is well protected by put writers.
Resistance at 25,500: With 56L calls vs. 28L puts, but given the bullish structure, this level can be breached if momentum continues.
Major resistance at 26,000: With 63L calls vs. 13L puts, this remains a critical ceiling for the monthly trend.

Market Outlook Based on OI Data

Short-Term (22nd–23rd Sep) – The market may remain sideways to slightly bearish ahead of the weekly expiry, mostly consolidating below 25,500.
Gap Moves – Any gap-up or gap-down opening could trigger momentum either way (bulls or bears).
Bullish Setup – A breakout above 25,400 can fuel bullish momentum, with potential to test 25,500–25,680 levels.
Bearish Setup – If the market closes or trades below 25,300, a retest of 25,000 is likely. A decisive break of 25,000 could extend weakness towards 24,500.

Sentiment Indicators

PCR Ratio: 0.8 – This indicates more call writing than put writing, showing short-term bearish sentiment. If PCR rises above 1.0, it would reflect a shift towards bullish positioning.
India VIX: 10 – Low volatility, no signs of panic. Investors remain calm, suggesting the market may trade in a controlled range without sharp whipsaws.

How to Take Positions in the Coming Week

1. Futures Trading Setup

Long Setup: Go long on Nifty if it closes above 25,400 or forms a strong bullish candle. The immediate upside target will be around 25,700.
Short Setup: Go short if Nifty closes below 25,300. In that case, expect a move down to 25,000, as the index may retest this crucial support level.

2. Options Buying Strategy

Put Buying (Bearish Setup):
If Nifty breaks the previous day’s low within the first 15 minutes of trade, buy an ATM 25,300 Put.

Target: 25,200 (same-day move)

Returns: Aim for 60–80 points on Nifty (20%+ return on capital).

Important: Do not carry this position overnight; exit within the same session.

Call Buying (Bullish Setup):
If Nifty opens with a gap-up and trades above 25,350, or if the market starts with a strong bullish bar, buy an ATM Call for intraday trading.

Exit Strategy: Book profits after the first upward move, ideally capturing 50–60 points on Nifty.

Important: Do not hold overnight, as theta decay will reduce option value.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Options trading carries risk. Consult a registered advisor before making any trades. We are not liable for any losses

Nifty 50 Trade Setup for September 8, 2025 & Next Week – Key Things to Know Before Market Opens

September 7, 2025

by ROHIT YADAV with No Comment Nifty 50 Weakly Trade Setup Uncategorized

Nifty 50 Trade Setup for September 8, 2025 & Next Week – Key Things to Know Before Market Opens

Technical View on Nifty 50 for 8 Sep

Nifty closed at 24,741 on Friday. The session began with a gap-up opening but quickly slipped lower, testing the 100 EMA. From there, the index staged a strong reversal and ended near the 21 EMA, forming a hammer candle, which reflects a presence of buying interest and potential bullish sentiment.
On the daily chart, the index is forming a Lower High – Higher Low – Lower Low (LH–HL–LL) pattern, which indicates weakness. This structure suggests that the market may once again test the 24,500 zone in the near term.
If the index opens or trades above 24,800, it would break the previous day’s high, turning the short-term trend bullish. In this case, long positions can be considered with an immediate target of 25,000.

On the other hand, if the market opens gap-down below 24,600 and sustains under it, short-term bearish momentum may emerge. In such a scenario, short positions can be taken with downside targets of 24,600 and 24,500.

Open Interest Analysis – Nifty 50

Resistance Levels (Above 24,750)

24,800 – Around 1.14 Cr calls vs. 62L puts, indicating a minor resistance.
24,900 – Nearly 1.3 Cr calls vs. 22L puts, making this the second resistance level.
25,000 – A heavy buildup of 1.87 Cr calls against just 15L puts, establishing this as a major resistance zone.

Support Levels

24,700 – Around 76L puts vs. 60L calls. The difference is small, so this level can be breached quickly depending on Monday’s opening trend.
24,600 – With 98L puts vs. 26L calls, this is the second support zone.
24,500 – Strong buildup of 1.24 Cr puts vs. 27.88L calls, making it the major support level for the market.

Key Zones for Monday & Tuesday

Support Zones: S1: 24,500 | S2: 24,600 | S3: 24,700
Resistance Zones: R1: 24,800 | R2: 24,900 | R3: 25,000

Possible Market Scenarios

Bullish Setup:

If Nifty opens flat or gap-up and sustains above 24,800, it may attempt to test 24,900.
A strong breakout above 24,900 could push the index toward 25,000, but this zone carries heavy call writing and will act as a major hurdle.
Sustained close above 25,000 can shift sentiment toward 25,200–25,300 levels.

Bearish Setup:

If Nifty opens weak or slips below 24,700, the next immediate support lies at 24,600.
A break below 24,600 may accelerate selling toward the 24,500 major support.
Breach of 24,500 could extend downside toward 24,200–24,000 in the short term.

Put-Call Ratio (PCR)

The current PCR stands at 0.8, which means there are more calls written than puts. Typically:

PCR below 1 signals bearish to neutral sentiment as call writers dominate, showing traders expect limited upside.
PCR above 1 indicates bullish bias as more puts are written, reflecting confidence in market support.

At 0.8, the sentiment leans bearish to sideways, with resistance levels likely to hold unless there is strong buying momentum.

India VIX – Market Volatility Gauge

Current India VIX: 10.8, which is at the lower end of the normal range (10–20).
A low VIX reflects calmness and low volatility, meaning option premiums are cheaper.
However, very low VIX levels often precede sharp moves in either direction if unexpected events or triggers occur.

In simple terms: the market is currently stable, but traders should be cautious of sudden volatility spikes.

Market Outlook

The index closed at 24,741 on Friday. For the upcoming week, especially with Monday trade and Tuesday’s expiry, these levels will be crucial:

Bullish Scenario: If Nifty trades above 24,800 or opens with a gap-up, buyers may push it toward 24,900–25,000. A close above 25,000 could open room for 25,200–25,300.
Bearish Scenario: If Nifty opens gap-down below 24,600 and sustains, weakness may extend toward 24,500. A break below 24,500 can accelerate selling pressure toward 24,200–24,000.

Trading Plan

Long Entry: Above 24,800 with confirmation; target 24,900–25,000.
Short Entry: Below 24,600 with confirmation; target 24,500 and then 24,200 if broken.

FII and DII data Analysis

Cash Market (01–05 Sep 2025)

FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors): Net sellers every day, with a total of -₹5,666 Cr (Month till date). Indicates FIIs are reducing exposure and showing bearish bias.
DIIs (Domestic Institutional Investors): Net buyers consistently, with a total of +₹13,444 Cr (Month till date). DIIs are providing support and absorbing FII selling pressure.

Conclusion: FIIs are bearish in the cash market, but DIIs are counterbalancing with strong buying.

Index Futures (FIIs)

FIIs are net sellers of -₹3,009 Cr (Month till date).
Consistently reducing long positions or building short positions in futures.
This adds to their bearish stance.

Index Options (FIIs)

FIIs are net buyers of +₹26,489 Cr (Month till date).
On daily data, they are alternating between heavy buying and selling, but overall leaning bullish on options.
This could mean they are hedging shorts in cash/futures with long positions in calls or using spreads.

Market View

FII Positioning: Bearish in cash and futures → they expect downside or at least limited upside.
DII Positioning: Strong buying → they are supporting the market, possibly expecting stability or accumulation at lower levels.
Options Activity: FIIs buying in index options → indicates hedging or preparing for volatility.

Possible Market Outlook

Short-Term (1 week): Market may remain under pressure due to FII selling, especially if Nifty trades below 24,400.
Support Levels: 24,400 and 25,000 (where DIIs might continue to provide support).
Upside Risk: If Nifty crosses 24,800–25,000, short covering from FIIs in futures can trigger a sharp rally.

Trade Setup For Monday and Tuesday of 8 Sep 2025

1.Long Futures with Hedge Strategy

Take a long position in Nifty September 30 Futures if the market trades above 24,800.
Hedge this position by buying a Nifty 24,700 Put option (09 Sep expiry).
Stop Loss for the futures trade is at 24,650.
Target for the upside move is 25,000.

This setup is effective because if Nifty moves above 24,800, it confirms short-term bullish momentum, and the market is likely to extend toward 25,000. At the same time, the purchased 24,700 Put option acts as insurance, limiting potential downside risk if the market fails to hold the breakout and falls back.

By combining the futures position (for directional exposure) with a near-term protective put, you create a hedged long that balances profit potential with risk control.

2.Short Futures with Hedge Strategy

Take a short position in Nifty September 30 Futures if the market trades below 24,600.
Hedge this position by buying a 24,700 Call option (09 Sep expiry).
Keep a Stop Loss at 24,750.
The downside target is 24,400.

This setup works because if Nifty breaks below 24,600, it indicates weakness and opens room for further decline toward 24,400. The purchased 24,700 Call acts as insurance against a sudden bounce, thereby reducing the overall risk.

3.Naked Call Option Strategy

If Nifty trades above 24800, buy 24600 CE or 24700 CE. These ITM calls hold intrinsic value and are better suited for overnight positions.
For intraday trades, you may buy 24900 CE or 24500 CE as cheaper OTM calls. These can give quick returns if momentum continues, but are not suitable for holding overnight.
Note: Avoid ATM and far OTM calls for overnight because they decay quickly in value and require a strong, immediate move to become profitable. ITM calls provide safer and more reliable exposure.

4.Naked Put Option Strategy

If Nifty falls below 24600, buy 24800 PE for holding overnight, as ITM puts carry intrinsic value and offer safer positioning.
For intraday trades, you can look at 24500 PE, since it has the highest OI and may move faster with momentum.
Note: Avoid holding ATM or OTM puts overnight because they have no intrinsic value, and theta decay will quickly erode the premium if the market moves against you. Always factor in risk before taking the trade.

5.Bull Call Spread

If Nifty trades above 24800, initiate a Bull Call Spread with the following setup:

Buy 24600 CE (9th Sep expiry) at ₹197
Sell 25000 CE (9th Sep expiry) at ₹16.1

This strategy benefits from an upward move, with an immediate target near 24800. It helps capture the upside while keeping risk controlled.

6.Bear Call Spread Strategy in NIFTY

A Bear Call Spread is used when you expect limited downside or range-bound bearish movement. It involves selling a lower strike Call and buying a higher strike Call of the same expiry.

Sell 24700 CE and Buy 24900 CE

Why use it: Generates income when the market stays below the short strike, with limited risk. It is suitable if NIFTY trades below 24,600, with a possible target towards 24,400.

7.Long Straddle Strategy

The Long Straddle is an options strategy ideal when high volatility is expected in the market. It involves buying both a Call and a Put option at the same strike price and expiry.

Example:

Buy 24700 CE (Call Option)
Buy 24700 PE (Put Option)
Expiry: 9th September
Total Cost (Premium Paid): ₹13,009

Key Details:

Maximum Profit: Unlimited (if NIFTY moves sharply in either direction)
Maximum Loss: Limited to the premium paid (₹13,009)
Breakeven Points: 24,527 (downside) & 24,873 (upside)

Why Use This Strategy: With expiry on Tuesday, the market is expected to see fast and significant moves on Monday and Tuesday. The Long Straddle benefits from strong moves in either direction, making it ideal for high volatility days.

8.Long Strangle Strategy

The Long Strangle is an options strategy designed for situations where a sharp market move is expected in either direction. It involves buying an Out-of-the-Money Call and an Out-of-the-Money Put with the same expiry.

Example:

Buy 24850 CE at ₹47.3
Buy 24650 PE at ₹38.5
Expiry: 9th September
Total Cost (Premium Paid): ₹6,435

Key Details:

Maximum Profit: Unlimited (if NIFTY moves strongly in either direction)
Maximum Loss: Limited to the premium paid (₹6,435)
Breakeven Points: 24,564 (downside) & 24,936 (upside)

Why Use This Strategy: This strategy is ideal when the market is expected to be volatile and a significant move is likely. It works well during expiry weeks, major events, or uncertain market conditions, allowing you to profit from movement in any direction.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Options trading carries risk. Consult a registered advisor before making any trades. We are not liable for any losses.